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Civilian Casualties

The civilian casualty count plays a major role in the world’s reaction to OCL.  Almost all expressions of shock, outrage, and condemnation of Israel for everything from “disproportionate response” to “war crimes” cites the terrible toll of civilian casualties inflicted on the Palestinian population.  Initially, all figures of civilian casualties either came from Palestinian sources (e.g., the Hamas-run Ministry of Health), or from NGO volunteers and UNWRA sources which emphasized the civilian catastrophe.  Eventually, the most widely used statistics came from a list of 1414 named dead provided by PCHR, of which, they claimed, 1180 were civilians (or 83%).  Other counts differed somewhat: B’tselem claimed that their study revealed 1387 dead, of which 773 were civilians.   The Israeli army issued its own count: 1166, 709 combatants, 295 civilian and 248 police, or (if one includes the police as combatants), 82.7% combatant casualties.


But statistics, despite their seeming “factual objectivity,” can be misleading.  In this case there were four major problems.


  • Inflation of civilian count: The PCHR civilian count was systematically inflated by designating Hamas members, as civilians and including the  hit on the first day.  This may be in part because Hamas systematically tries to downplay and hide its own casualties. A systematic search at Hamas and other Jihadi websites revealed that 348 of those listed as civilians were, in fact, listed as members of these groups. 

  • Definition: many organizations, including B’tselem, used a severely restrictive definition of combatant, so that even Hamas militants who were not actually in the act of firing on the Israelis.  As a result, one comes out with statistics that make no sense: among the category of children (under 18) most likely to be involved in fighting (11-18), more than three times as many boys were killed as girls, and for 18-29, four times as many (whereas, were they randomly killed civilians one would expect, as with children under 11, similar numbers for both sexes). 

  • Police: Both the Palestinian sources and B’tselem count the police as civilians.  But the vast majority (78%) of policemen killed during Operation Cast Lead were members of terrorists groups whose exploits are detailed at the Al Izzadin al Qassam Brigades website. The Goldstone Report takes pains to define the police force as purely civilian, despite the ignoring evidence that proves otherwise and characterizing Israel's initial airstrikes at the Hamas police stations as an unjustified attack on civilians. 

  • Perspective: Even if one accepts the PCHR’s figures, a 1:3 ratio of military to civilian casualty rate may seem high, but in comparison with other cases of warfare conducted in urban areas, it’s among the lowest ratio on record.  The recent US-led drone attacks on Pakistan there has been a 1:15 ratio (50 combatants to 780 civilian dead).  According to the British military expert Richard Kemp (whom Goldstone chose not to hear:

 

I don’t think there has ever been a time in the history of warfare when any army has made more efforts to reduce civilian casualties and deaths of innocent people than the IDF is doing today in Gaza.

 

The Goldstone Report came out with civilian statistics that resemble closely those of the NGOs – Palestinian, Western and Israeli.  They took no account of the volume of hard evidence that undermined those numbers, and they drew the same severe conclusions about Israeli recklessness as had their sources.  Indeed, one might argue that the civilian statistics the Goldstone Report adopted play a key role in their most serious charge: that Israel targeted civilians and therefore that they may well be guilty of crimes against humanity.

 

For a review of all the material and a list of "civilian" combatants, see Elder of Ziyon, "More of those civilians killed in Gaza"

 

For an interactive site with all the links to the Jihadi sites, see Casualties of truth: how the PCHR lies about the casualties of Cast Lead.



Israel's Gaza civilian to military kill ratio much lower than NATO's in Serbia Print E-mail

From Israel Matzav

Thursday, September 24, 2009

 


Israel's Gaza civilian to military kill ratio much lower than NATO's in Serbia

 


n an op-ed in Thursday's Boston Globe, Michael Oren, Israel's ambassador to the US, discusses the number of civilian casualties caused by Operation Cast Lead.

Despite Hamas’s cynical use of civilians as human shields, the Israel Defense Forces repeatedly called off operations deemed too dangerous to civilian populations and endangered its own troops by warning Palestinian neighborhoods of impending attacks. Yet even the most moral army can make mistakes, especially in dense urban warfare; for every Serbian soldier killed by NATO in 1999, for example, four civilians died. By comparison, more than half of the Palestinian casualties in Gaza were military. Still, Israel launched investigations into some 100 cases of alleged misconduct by its soldiers, 23 of which continue. If found guilty, as one soldier already has been, the perpetrators will be brought to justice under Israel’s internationally respected legal system.

I'll bet many of you who are not news junkies didn't know that the military to civilian kill ratio was 1:4 in Serbia as compared with 1:less than 1 in Gaza.

 

But of course, Oren is using the Israeli figures of who is a civilian and who is a terrorist, since they are by far the most reliable. What's more amazing is that even had he accepted the Hamas figures, the ratio would still have been less than 1:4. And I doubt that anyone in the West would accuse the US military of deliberately perpetrating a massacre.

 

The fact that the IDF's civilian kill ratio was much lower than other Western armies is something that needs to be stressed in the media in the post-Goldstone Report period.

 

The picture at the top is an example of a terrorist whom Hamas classified as a civilian. You can find out more about him here.

 
Ben Dror Yemini, How many civilians were killed in Gaza? Maariv 10/7/09 Print E-mail

Monday, July 20, 2009

How many civilians were killed in Gaza?

Ben-Dror Yemini

Maariv 20.07.09 [translated]


Every week new reports are published on the number of civilians killed in the Gaza Strip during Operation Cast Lead. Again and again, Israel is blamed for "disproportionate casualties among civilians." Here and there, claims of "war crimes" are raised. It must be said that, first, any civilian death is deplorable and everything possible must be done to prevent such deaths. Second, any reasonable allegation must be investigated. There is not an army in the world that has not made mistakes, and the IDF is no exception. But apparently there are many entities that are enamored of lies. Hamas claimed from the start that only a small number of those killed in Gaza were fighters. Many human rights organizations adopted the claims made by Hamas and other Palestinian organizations. So the time has come, if truth has any meaning whatsoever, to present the real story.

 

Read more...
 
Richter and Stein, B'tselem's Civilian Casualty Estimates in OCL, SPME 13/9/09 Print E-mail
Elihu Richter and Yael Stein carried out a careful study of the casualty estimates based on a wide range of indicators, and criticize the B'tselem report for systematically inflating the "civilian" category by using definitions that skew the results and contradict the statistical probabilities.  From the conclusion:
B’Tselem reported 1387 killed. Of these, 330 were classified as combatants and 773 were not. In addition, 248 police were killed in attacks on police stations. The IDF states that 1166 were killed of whom 709 were classified as combatants and 295 were not. The B’Tselem data show a high male to female ratio -- greater than 4.0 ---among teens and adults classified as non-combatants. In age 17-18, an age group often involved in hostilities, there is an abrupt increase in M/F ratio to 6.5. These high m/f ratios suggest that many could have been involved in combatant situations, either as shields, fighters, circumstantial helpers, sporadic helpers, or bystanders who were drawn into the goings on, as well as recruiters, financers and propagandists. The deaths of 119 children reported as under age 11 bespeaks to the conditions of asymmetric warfare: mixing of populations, shielding--either intended or inadvertent, and exposure to the massive firepower used by the IDF.
Read more...
 


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